রবিবার, ২৮ এপ্রিল, ২০১৩

Align's Revenues Miss Estimations - Analyst Blog site




Align Technology (ALGN) mentioned 4th quarter adjusted EPS of 14 cents, missing out on both the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 17 cents and the year-ago quarter & rsquo; s 16 cents. For fiscal 2010, adjusted EPS came in at 80 pennies, skipping the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2 pennies, however above 41 pennies in 2009.

Complete profits boosted 7.3 % year over year to $92.9 thousand (within the firm & rsquo; s guidance of $90.5--$93.0 million), hardly defeating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $92.0 thousand. For fiscal 2010, revenue can be found in at $372.8 thousand (after adjusting for $14.3 thousand of formerly deferred earnings for Invisalign Teen substitute aligners), up 19.4 % compared with 2009 and marginally topping the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $372.0 million.
In spite of greater incomes, EPS boiled down as a result of lower gross and running margin. While gross margin boiled down by 140 basis indicate 77.2 % compared to the 4th quarter of 2009, adjusted operating margin decreased by 460 basis points to 17.2 %.

The primary reason for the huge decline in operating margin was a 13.2% rise in operating expenses driven by higher sales and marketing (8.4%), general and administrative (20.3%), and research and development (19.2%) expenses.
Align recorded 36.4% of total sales from North American GP Dentists (declined 8.1% quarter over quarter to $33.8 million), 31.1% from North America orthodontists (declined 7.2% to $28.9 million), 26.7% from international (grew 6.9% to $24.8 million) and 5.8% from non-case revenue (increased 12% to $5.4 million).

On a sequential basis, barring revenue from non-case products which increased 12% to $5.4 million, all the products in Align’s portfolio recorded a decline. The company’s highest contribution (69.8% of total revenues) comes from Invisalign Full, which declined 2.6% compared to the third quarter of fiscal 2010.

Other products including Invisalign Teen (down 6.2% to $10.6 million), Invisalign Express (6.4% to $8.3 million), and Invisalign Assist (13.7% to $3.7 million) had a disappointing quarter.

Align recorded a 6.6% improvement in international average selling price (ASP) ($1,525), while the blended pricing improved marginally (0.72% to $1,400). The company said that although it had been struggling regarding the case shipments in the US market in the beginning, the situation improved in the second half of the year and continued into the first quarter of 2011.

The total number of cases shipped in the reported quarter increased 3.9% annually to 63,490 (company’s guidance of 61,500 − 63,000), but declined 4.1% sequentially. While cases shipped to the International market remained almost unchanged at 16,295, cases shipped to North American Orthodontists and North American GP Dentists declined 5.3% and 5.8%, respectively.

Moreover, cases shipped for Invisalign Full, Invisalign Express, Invisalign Teen and Invisalign Assist recorded declines of 2.4%, 9.1%, 8.6% and 3.5%, respectively.

Along with quarterly results, Align provided an update regarding its operations. The company has received approval from the Chinese State Food and Drug Administration (SFDA) to market the Invisalign system as a Class II medical device to treat malocclusion. Invisalign is expected to be commercially available in the second half of 2011.
This is a significant achievement for the company as it would help Align to expand its foothold into one of the fastest growing markets for orthodontics, China. Moreover, in January 2011, Align entered into an agreement to jointly develop software applications that will run on Cadent scanners and be used for Invisalign treatment. Read the full info on invisalign cost Manly here at this site.

Guidance

Align provided its outlook for the first quarter of fiscal 2011. It expects total revenue and EPS to be in the range $99.0−$102.5 million and 15 cents−17 cents, respectively. Although the revenues guidance exceeds the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $95 million, the EPS guidance lags behind the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 19 cents.
Case volumes are expected to be in a range of 67,000 − 69,500. Gross margin and operating margin should range within 77.3%–77.8% and 17.2% − 18.8%, respectively. Align expects to generate cash and cash equivalents of $315-$320 million while $8–$10 million of capital expenditures.

Recommendation

Align has undertaken several strategies to further penetrate the malocclusion market. However, Align’s performance was affected by lower demand from the US GP dentists and the elimination of the minimum case requirements program.

As expected, this trend continued in the fourth quarter as well. We also remain concerned about the economic uncertainty as dental procedures, being elective in nature, often get deferred.

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